Genoa finished last season 13th with 43 points, a lower-mid table position. This season, after 29 Serie A rounds, they remain 13th with 8 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, totaling 33 points. At home, they have 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses in 15 matches, earning 19 points—5 more than away—showing a moderate home advantage. Genoa’s recent form is impressive: a 2-1 home win over Roma, four wins in the last five home games, and a 2-0 away victory at Verona, giving them a two-game winning streak in the league.
Udinese finished last season 12th with 44 points and currently sits 11th with 10 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses after 29 rounds. Away, they have 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses in 14 matches, earning 17 points, slightly below their home output. Recent results have been inconsistent: a 2-2 draw at Atalanta, losses to Lecce and Bologna, followed by a home defeat to Juventus, reflecting a shaky run.
The market opens with Genoa favored at -0.25. Considering Genoa’s clear advantage in their last four head-to-heads, coupled with their current hot form compared to Udinese’s erratic results, the edge leans toward the hosts.
Odds Analysis Table:
Outcome | Bookmaker Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
Genoa Win | 2.10 | 47.6% |
Draw | 3.40 | 29.4% |
Udinese Win | 3.60 | 27.8% |
Prediction: Genoa to win, likely continuing their strong home streak.
