The Round of 16 in the Coppa Italia sees Bologna hosting Parma at Renato Dall’Ara on December 4, 2025, at 20:45 local time. Parma, as the visitors, are aware that they will be considered underdogs in this clash.
Our Prediction for Bologna vs Parma
Bologna, who finished fifth under Thiago Motta two seasons ago, had a mixed 2024/2025 campaign under Italian coach Vincenzo Italiano. They struggled in the Champions League, exiting before the playoff stage, and finished ninth in Serie A. Despite these setbacks, they triumphed in the national cup, earning a spot in the Europa League, where they have been impressive—most notably with a 4-1 victory over Red Bull Salzburg. In Serie A, their form has been solid, though they recently suffered a 1-3 loss to Cremonese.
Parma, having recently returned to Serie A, managed to secure safety with 36 points, finishing sixteenth. Under the inexperienced Carlos Cuesta Garcia, they have struggled for consistency. Their only league win came at home against Torino, and they also fought back from 0-2 to draw against Milan. Parma beat Verona but lost to Udinese in their most recent match.
In the Coppa Italia, this match marks the start of Bologna’s campaign. Parma, however, have already progressed past Pescara with a 2-0 win in the cup but needed penalties to overcome Spezia after a 2-2 draw in regular time.
Key Statistics and Trends
Bologna were unbeaten in twelve consecutive matches until this week.
On average, Bologna score 1.69 goals and concede 0.85 goals per match.
38% of Bologna’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average of 2.54 goals per match.
Parma have won only two matches this Serie A season.
On average, Parma score 0.69 goals and concede 1.31 goals per match.
46% of Parma’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average of 2.0 goals per match.
Possible Starting Lineups
Bologna (possible lineup): Skorupski – Miranda, Lucumí, Heggem, Holm – Pobega, Ferguson, Rowe, Odgaard, Orsolini – Dallinga
Parma (possible lineup): Corvi – N’Diaye, Valenti, Del Prato – Levik, Sorensen, Keita, Bernabé, Brichgi – Pellegrino, Cutrone
Previous Matches
In February, Parma won against Bologna for the first time since 2012. However, they suffered a 1-3 defeat at home in November this year.
Free Prediction for Bologna vs Parma
Bologna clearly enter this match as the stronger side. The most obvious betting choice is to back a home victory.
Betting Odds Analysis
Outcome | Odds | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
Bologna Win | 1.60 | Strong form, cup champions, better squad depth |
Draw | 3.80 | Possible if Parma defends deep |
Parma Win | 5.50 | Unlikely, given their struggles |
Over 2.5 Goals | 2.10 | Bologna’s attacking strength |
Under 2.5 Goals | 1.70 | Could happen if Parma defends well |
