Pisa vs Atalanta Betting Preview – Serie A Round 21
Match Information
Competition: Serie A
Round: 21
Date: January 16, 2026
Kick-off: Evening, local time (CET)
Venue: Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Our Prediction for Pisa vs Atalanta
Pisa’s long-awaited return to Serie A was supposed to mark the start of a new era, but reality has been harsh. Promotion was achieved under Filippo Inzaghi, yet his departure in the summer proved decisive. Alberto Gilardino has struggled to impose a clear identity, and results have suffered accordingly.
Despite losing fewer than half of their matches, Pisa’s inability to turn draws into wins has trapped them in the relegation zone. With just one league victory so far, frustration is building. Still, their recent draw against Udinese showed defensive discipline and a willingness to fight, even if attacking quality remains limited.
Atalanta arrive in a very different mood. After finishing third last season under Gian Piero Gasperini and securing another Champions League campaign, the summer coaching change disrupted momentum. Ivan Juric’s tenure was short-lived, but timely intervention brought Raffaele Palladino to Bergamo.
The impact has been immediate. Atalanta have won their last three Serie A matches against Roma, Bologna, and Torino, regaining structure, confidence, and intensity. Palladino’s approach has stabilized both domestic and European performances, restoring belief that Atalanta can once again challenge near the top.
Team Performance Metrics
Pisa average just 0.75 goals scored per match while conceding 1.5, a clear indication of their struggles at both ends of the pitch. Their low scoring output forces them into narrow-margin games where any mistake is costly.
Atalanta’s numbers underline their superiority. Scamacca and company score 1.25 goals per game and concede only 0.95, reflecting a balanced side capable of controlling matches through both possession and defensive organization.
Pisa vs Atalanta: Key Statistics and Trends
Pisa have lost four of their last seven league matches
Only 40% of Pisa’s games feature goals from both teams
Average total goals in Pisa matches: 2.25
Atalanta have won nine of their last eleven matches in all competitions
50% of Atalanta’s matches see both teams scoring
Average total goals in Atalanta matches: 2.2
Probable Starting Lineups
Pisa (probable lineup):
Šemper – Bonfanti, Albiol, Canestrelli – Angori, Højlholt, Aebischer, Leris, Touré – Meister, Moreo
Atalanta (probable lineup):
Carnesecchi – Kolašinac, Hien, de Roon – Bernasconi, Maldini, De Ketelaere, Ederson, Musah, Zappacosta – Scamacca
Previous Meetings
Atalanta have dominated this matchup historically, winning all four previous competitive encounters. However, the most recent meeting in August ended in a 1–1 draw, a reminder that Pisa can remain competitive at home under the right circumstances.
Professional Market Odds Movement
The opening market installed Atalanta as a clear away favorite, with prices reflecting both form and squad quality. Early Asian handicap lines showed Atalanta giving a moderate spread, and initial money leaned toward the visitors without triggering aggressive line movement.
The odds on an away win have shortened slightly, suggesting steady confidence rather than speculative betting. Bookmakers appear comfortable with Atalanta liability, indicating that professional money aligns with the public narrative in this case.
The total goals line has remained relatively stable around the lower range, influenced by Pisa’s limited attacking threat and Atalanta’s controlled approach under Palladino.
Trading Direction and Market Psychology
Market psychology heavily favors Atalanta. Bettors see a clear contrast between Pisa’s survival struggle and Atalanta’s resurgence under new management. The visitors’ recent winning streak has reinforced trust, while Pisa’s lack of victories undermines confidence.
However, some traders remain cautious due to Atalanta’s away status and Pisa’s tendency to grind out draws. This explains why the market has supported the away win rather than pushing lines aggressively toward larger handicaps.
In live trading, Atalanta scoring first could open the game significantly, as Pisa lack the attacking depth to chase matches effectively.
Free Prediction for Pisa vs Atalanta
Quality, momentum, and tactical clarity all favor the visitors. While Pisa may compete defensively for spells, Atalanta’s consistency and superior individual talent should eventually prevail.
Recommended bet: Atalanta to win
Estimated odds: 1.60
