The Memphis Grizzlies are coming off a dramatic 129–125 road win over the Sacramento Kings, extending their streak to two straight victories. Second-year guard Cam Spencer delivered a clutch performance down the stretch, knocking down three critical shots in the final moments — including a decisive 28-foot three-pointer with 18.1 seconds remaining — finishing with 20 points.
With Ja Morant sidelined, Ty Jerome stepped into the starting lineup and stole the show, pouring in a game-high 28 points while dishing out 7 assists. Off the court, Memphis have made their rebuilding intentions clear, recently trading Jaren Jackson Jr. to the Utah Jazz in exchange for a package that includes three first-round picks, Kyle Anderson and Taylor Hendricks, signaling that short-term results are no longer the priority.
Portland, meanwhile, continue to slide. A 125–130 home loss to the Phoenix Suns marked their sixth consecutive defeat. Despite an explosive 41–30 first quarter and a lead that once ballooned to 19 points, the Trail Blazers collapsed defensively as the game wore on. Jerami Grant led the team with 23 points, while rookie center Donovan Clingan posted an impressive double-double with 14 points and 15 rebounds.
Injury concerns remain a major issue for Portland. All-Star Deni Avdija is still sidelined with a back injury, and Scoot Henderson will also miss this contest. Defensively, Portland have been repeatedly exposed in pick-and-roll coverage, particularly when Clingan is forced to step out to the perimeter, where his lack of lateral quickness has been targeted by opposing guards.
Odds & Market Analysis
Market | Line | Market Insight |
|---|---|---|
Spread | Trail Blazers -3.5 | Books lean toward Portland |
Moneyline | Grizzlies +140 / Blazers -165 | Moderate home favoritism |
Total Points | 228.5 | Expect a fast-paced game |
Trend | Line steady | Confidence in Portland bounce-back |
While Memphis are playing with freedom amid a rebuild, motivation strongly favors Portland. The Trail Blazers still have a realistic shot at securing a Play-In Tournament spot, making this a must-win scenario. Memphis, on the other hand, have little incentive to push veterans or prioritize results.
Betting Verdict
Memphis’ recent wins have come with low pressure and high shot-making variance, while Portland’s losing streak masks competitive starts and strong individual performances. With greater urgency, home-court advantage and a clearer incentive structure, Portland are well-positioned to respond after falling behind early.
Recommendation: Trail Blazers -3.5
Lean: Portland to Win (Bounce-Back Spot)
