In the 30th round of Italy’s Serie B, Modena FC will host Spezia Calcio on March 13, 2026 (local time). The visitors are fighting to avoid relegation and urgently need points, but their opponent has enjoyed a far more stable and confident season so far.
Team News and Expert Analysis
Modena
The club based at Stadio Alberto Braglia was officially re-established in 2018 after its predecessor went bankrupt. Despite the difficult restart, Modena have made steady progress and have been competing in Serie B since 2022. Last season they finished in 11th place.
This season, the team has taken another step forward and is currently holding a place in the playoff zone. Their form in February was particularly impressive, with a surge of victories that strengthened their promotion hopes. However, momentum has slowed recently. After three consecutive wins, Modena suffered two defeats and were then held to a draw by Cesena.
Spezia
The club from Stadio Alberto Picco returned to Serie B in 2023 after spending two seasons in Serie A. Last season they finished third and came very close to promotion, but ultimately lost the playoff final to US Cremonese by a single goal.
Following that disappointment, Spezia’s form declined sharply. This season has become a battle for survival, and the threat of direct relegation is very real. Nevertheless, the players have recently shown signs of determination to turn things around. In 2026 they managed to collect several important results, including a notable victory over AC Monza in the previous round.
From a statistical perspective, Modena have been more balanced. Led by Ambrosino, the team averages 1.28 goals per match while conceding just 0.83 goals per game. Spezia’s numbers are weaker, scoring roughly one goal per round while allowing 1.34 on average.
Previous Meetings: Modena vs Spezia
In the last five meetings between the two sides, each team has recorded one victory, with both wins coming on home soil. The remaining matches ended in draws.
With Modena currently higher in the standings and playing at home, they appear to have a slight advantage heading into this encounter.
Key Statistics and Trends
Modena are currently without a win in their last three matches.
45% of Modena’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average of 2.1 total goals per game.
Spezia have lost only two of their last seven matches.
52% of Spezia’s games see both teams scoring, with an average total of 2.34 goals.
Probable Starting Lineups
Modena (1-3-5-2)
Chichizola
Niling, Dellavalle, Tonoli
Zanimacchia, Nador, Santoro, Massolo, Zampano
De Luca, Ambrosino
Pyuhtia and Sersanti are unavailable for selection.
Spezia (1-3-5-2)
Radunovic
Bonfanti, Mateju, Ruggiero
Beruatto, Adamo, Romano, Bellemo, Cernicola
Schjellerup, Artistico
Match Prediction
Although Spezia are highly motivated due to their relegation battle, Modena have demonstrated greater consistency throughout the season. Playing at home and possessing a stronger defensive record could give them the decisive edge.
If Modena control the midfield and maintain their defensive discipline, they should be able to secure an important result.
Predicted Score
Modena 2–1 Spezia
