La Liga enters a crucial stage as Rayo Vallecano host Levante in Round 28. For the Madrid side, this match represents an important opportunity to collect valuable points and further distance themselves from the relegation battle. Levante, meanwhile, are still fighting near the bottom of the table and will be hoping to continue their recent improvement in form.
Rayo Vallecano Season Overview
Rayo Vallecano enjoyed a memorable campaign last season. The Madrid club collected 52 points and finished 8th in La Liga, narrowly edging out Osasuna on tiebreakers. That achievement secured them a historic qualification for the UEFA Europa Conference League.
During the European qualifiers in the summer, Rayo performed impressively and reached the playoff round, where they defeated Samsunspor 3–1 away from home to secure their place in the competition.
However, their domestic league performance has declined compared to last season. For much of the campaign, the club hovered dangerously close to the relegation zone. Fortunately, recent results have been encouraging. Rayo Vallecano are currently enjoying a strong run of five consecutive unbeaten matches, including a 1–1 draw against Sevilla in their latest league fixture.
Statistically, the Madrid side averages 1 goal scored per match while conceding 1.22 goals per game.
Levante Season Overview
Levante returned to La Liga in 2025 after spending several seasons in the Segunda División. Since their promotion, survival has been their main objective.
For most of the season, Levante have remained near the bottom of the standings, often battling fellow newcomers such as Oviedo in the relegation fight. Despite their struggles, the team showed promising form between late December and January, when they managed a series of positive results.
Recently, Levante defeated Alavés and followed that result with a respectable draw against Girona, showing signs that they can compete even against stronger opponents.
In terms of statistics, Levante matches tend to be more open. The team averages 1.07 goals scored per match, but their defensive record remains concerning, conceding 1.67 goals per game.
Head-to-Head Record
Historically, Levante have performed relatively well in this matchup, recording two wins and one draw in earlier meetings.
However, the most recent clash in La Liga told a different story. When the teams met in October, Rayo Vallecano dominated and secured a convincing 3–0 home victory.
This result could play a psychological role heading into the upcoming encounter.
Key Stats and Trends
Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in six consecutive matches.
44% of Rayo Vallecano matches see both teams score, with an average total of 2.22 goals per game.
Levante are unbeaten in their last two matches.
48% of Levante matches feature goals from both sides, with an average of 2.74 goals per match.
Levante games generally produce more goals, largely due to their defensive vulnerability.
Probable Starting Lineups
Rayo Vallecano (4-5-1)
Batalla
Espino – Mendy – Lejeune – Ratiu
Gumbau – Oscar Valentin – Francisco Perez – Palazon – Akomach
De Frutos
Unavailable: Mendes.
Levante (4-5-1)
Ryan
Manu Sanchez – Matturro – Adri – Toljan
Tunde – Uri Rey – Carlos Alvarez – Olasagasti – Victor Garcia
Romero
Unavailable: Dela (suspension due to yellow cards), along with several injured players.
Crown Full Odds Index (Reference)
Crown Asian Handicap
Rayo Vallecano -0.5
Crown 1X2 Odds
Rayo Vallecano – 1.72
Draw – 3.50
Levante – 4.60
Crown Over/Under
2.5 Goals
Bookmakers clearly favor the home side, reflecting Rayo Vallecano’s stronger squad and recent unbeaten run.
Match Prediction
Both teams enter this match with improved recent form, but the overall balance of quality still favors Rayo Vallecano. The Madrid club are playing with more confidence, especially at home, and their defensive structure has been relatively stable in recent weeks.
Levante’s defensive record remains a major concern, particularly against teams capable of controlling possession.
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win
Recommended Pick: Rayo Vallecano Victory
Projected Score: Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Levante
