Home Pressure vs. German Momentum: Can Roma Turn Expectation into Europa League Victory?

Soccer Genius
Match Previews
2 min read
Roma come into this fixture on the back of a solid 2–0 away victory over Torino in Serie A. Across their last 10 competitive matches, the Giallorossi have recorded six wins and four defeats, reflecting a generally steady but not fully convincing run of form. In the Europa League, Roma previously showcased their attacking potential with a dominant 3–0 win over Celtic, yet inconsistency remains a concern, particularly in high-intensity contests.
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Roma come into this fixture on the back of a solid 2–0 away victory over Torino in Serie A. Across their last 10 competitive matches, the Giallorossi have recorded six wins and four defeats, reflecting a generally steady but not fully convincing run of form. In the Europa League, Roma previously showcased their attacking potential with a dominant 3–0 win over Celtic, yet inconsistency remains a concern, particularly in high-intensity contests.

Their home performances in this season’s Europa League have been underwhelming. Roma have managed just one win from three home matches, suffering defeats against Viktoria Plzeň and Lille, with their only victory coming against Midtjylland—a result of limited overall significance. Defensive vulnerabilities have been evident, with goals conceded in all three home games (four in total), while their attacking output has been modest, scoring only three goals and failing to find the net once. Injury issues further complicate matters, as striker Artem Dovbyk is sidelined with a groin injury until mid-March, defender Hermoso is ruled out, and several players—including El Shaarawy, Angeliño, Evan Ferguson and Çelik—remain doubtful.

Stuttgart, meanwhile, drew 1–1 at home against Union Berlin in their most recent Bundesliga outing and are currently enjoying a strong run of form, remaining unbeaten in their last six matches with four wins and two draws. In the Europa League, they impressed with a commanding 4–1 victory over Maccabi Tel Aviv, underlining their confidence and attacking rhythm. Defensively, Stuttgart have been well organized, conceding just five goals in six Europa League matches, keeping two clean sheets and averaging only 0.83 goals conceded per game.

However, their away form in Europe has been less convincing. Stuttgart have won only one of their three Europa League away fixtures, losing to Fenerbahçe and Basel, with their sole success coming against Go Ahead Eagles. Their attacking output on the road has been erratic—while they scored four goals in that win, they failed to score in the other two away matches, highlighting inconsistency in their offensive execution.

Overall, Roma’s convincing league win last weekend has raised expectations as they return home for this midweek European clash. Stuttgart arrive in excellent form and unbeaten in seven consecutive matches across all competitions, yet the current betting line suggests limited confidence in the German side, despite their momentum. Taking home advantage, experience, and market positioning into account, Roma are still favored to edge this contest at the Olimpico.

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