Match Background
Bologna are currently ranked 10th in the Serie A standings with 30 points, sitting comfortably in mid-table. However, their recent form has been far from convincing. Over the last 10 matches, Bologna have recorded only 2 wins, along with 3 draws and 5 defeats, showing a noticeable dip in consistency. Their home performance is particularly concerning, as they have failed to win any of their last five home games, drawing twice and losing three times, which significantly weakens their home-field advantage.
Defensively, Bologna have clear issues. They have conceded 19 goals in their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals conceded per game, and managed just one clean sheet during this period. Offensively, their output remains relatively stable, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match, but this has not been enough to compensate for defensive lapses. In terms of squad availability, Bologna will miss Kevin Bonifazi (rested), Jhon Lucumí (hamstring injury), and Lorenzo De Silvestri (abdominal strain). These absences have limited impact on the overall squad structure. In their previous match, Bologna lined up in a 3-3-4 formation, focusing heavily on attacking width and forward pressure.
Parma’s Situation
Parma are currently 16th in the league with 23 points and are deeply involved in the relegation battle. Their recent form shows slight improvement compared to Bologna, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 matches, though stability remains an issue. Notably, Parma’s away performances have been relatively solid. In their last five away fixtures, they achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss, indicating a cautious but effective approach on the road.
Defensively, Parma have been more reliable than Bologna, conceding 13 goals in their last 10 matches, an average of 1.3 goals per game, and keeping four clean sheets. The main concern lies in their attacking inefficiency. Parma have scored just 6 goals in their last 10 matches, averaging only 0.6 goals per game, and failed to score in half of those fixtures. Squad depth is slightly affected, with four players unavailable due to injuries, which may limit rotation options. Parma typically adopt a 4-4-2 system, prioritizing compact defense and quick counterattacks.
Tactical Outlook
This matchup presents a contrast in styles. Bologna, despite playing at home, struggle defensively and lack control when facing disciplined opponents. Their best chance lies in maintaining attacking pressure and improving efficiency in the final third. Parma, on the other hand, are unlikely to commit many players forward. Their game plan will focus on defensive organization, minimizing mistakes, and capitalizing on counterattacking opportunities.
Given Bologna’s poor home form and Parma’s relatively stable away performances, the gap between the two sides is narrower than the league table suggests. Both teams face limitations at opposite ends of the pitch, making a tightly contested and low-scoring encounter more likely.
Mainstream Bookmaker Odds (1X2 Market)
Bookmaker Home Win Draw Away Win
Bet365 2.05 3.25 3.70
William Hill 2.00 3.30 3.80
Pinnacle 2.08 3.28 3.75
Odds comparison shows Bologna as slight favorites due to home advantage, but the draw remains strongly protected by bookmakers, reflecting expectations of a balanced contest.
Final Verdict
Bologna’s attacking ability gives them some edge, but their defensive instability and weak home record significantly reduce confidence in a straight home win. Parma’s lack of firepower limits their chances of an outright victory, yet their defensive structure and motivation in the relegation fight make them well-equipped to take points away from home. Overall, the match is likely to be tense and conservative, with neither side capable of dominating for long periods.
Recommendation: Draw or Away Win (Asian Handicap: Home -0/0.25 → Let Draw Let Lose)
