La Liga Round 15 will feature a crucial relegation showdown as Osasuna host Levante at home on December 8, 2025, at 21:00 local time. This is a typical must-win battle for survival, with both sides desperate for points. Below is the detailed match analysis:
Osasuna currently sit 17th in the league with 12 points from 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses. They are right on the edge of the safety zone. A home victory in this match would allow them to widen the gap with the teams in the relegation area, giving Osasuna a very clear motivation to push for points. Their home performance this season has been relatively solid: in six home league matches, they have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 8. A 50% home-win rate highlights how important their home scoring and defensive resilience are to their survival.
Levante, newly promoted this season, have struggled badly in La Liga. After 14 rounds, they have only 2 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, collecting 9 points and sitting bottom of the table. This away match is crucial for their hopes of climbing out of the relegation zone, and their desire to grab points is high. Interestingly, while their home form is poor, their away performances are comparatively more reliable: in eight away league fixtures, Levante have earned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 10. They rank 10th in the league for away results, showing that their attack on the road has competitive strength.
Osasuna are dealing with several key injuries. Defender Valentin Rosier’s status remains uncertain, and forward Iker Benito is sidelined with a knee injury until August 2026. These absences affect their attacking rotation and defensive stability. However, main striker Budimir remains in decent form with four goals scored. His performance will be crucial to the efficiency of Osasuna’s attack.
Levante’s defensive situation is even more worrying. Defenders Elgezabal, Matías Moreno, and Adrián de la Fuente are all on the injury list, and midfielder Pablo Martínez is also unlikely to feature. With an already fragile backline now missing several starters, Levante will face increased defensive pressure, especially against counterattacks and set-piece plays.
In previous meetings, Osasuna hold a clear advantage. In the last three encounters, Osasuna have remained unbeaten with two wins and one draw. Notably, in March 2022, Osasuna defeated Levante 3–1 at home, with Budimir contributing one goal and one assist in that match. Such a positive history gives Osasuna additional confidence going into this fixture.
Osasuna’s home advantage, defensive resilience, and superior head-to-head record are key factors, and bookmakers generally offer Osasuna a -0.75 handicap, showing strong market support for the home side. Although Levante have strong motivation to fight for survival, their defensive injury crisis and lack of attacking stability are difficult to overcome. Overall, Osasuna are favored to secure all three points at home.
Prediction: Osasuna to win at home
